jueves, 24 de marzo de 2022

TOWARD PRISONERS DILEMMA

TOWARD PRISONERS DILEMMA

Hugo Adan                                                                                                                     

I promised to publish my FRAME of ANALYS on PEACE-WAR today & it is here, I called

TOWARD PRISONERS DILEMMA

Meaning: If one of two rivals (US-EU NATO allies vs. RU-CH allies) accept violating international rules of peace-war and confess committed genocide in Ukraine, the one who confess goes to prison or to a guillotine, and the others get freedom & will be respected worldwide as heroes. That is an impossible scenario right now: no one will confess genocide. The most possible one is the PRISONER DILEMMA: no one accept that fault and both sides win or get freedom (or a small figurative punishment). Both sides in conflict (RU-NATO allies) will get temporary PEACE but the real winner will be WAR, it will come back soon or later. This trap is called ‘Prisoner Dilemma’.

HERE THE FRAME FOR ANALYSIS

1-Check new economic sanctions from US-EU-NATO allies on RU, and China now on. Focus on transfers on Money to EU banks (money to get from the sanctions) and the transfer of riches (gold, oil, minerals, road control ++ to European countries.

2-Check also how RU respond to such illegalities, and how much damage it cost to them. Is there a plan from RU to overcome this problem, beside bombing Banks? Does RU plan to bomb their nuclear sites?. Is there a way to make a deal with EU and solve this peacefully? I don’t think this could happen right now, but after bombing banks.. perhaps. So far EU got the support of IMF & UN, but words don’t count when RU’ war actions are on. Meanwhile the cut of RU oil to EU will cause severe economic crisis over there. One Comp has stop manufacturing cars, many lost jobs.

3-Check the answers from China in support of RU (China is the biggest economy in the world and they wont abandon RU. China depends on his oil).

4-Check new allies from the world coming in support of RU and the list continue to growth up.

5-Check the emergence of new big allies in favor of RU (though vacillations still exist). This is the case of India, Saudis and some Arab countries like Iran-Irak. IF RU manage to create a FRONT to cut oil to west during big coming festivities, that will be a huge blow.

6-NATO is getting big contradictions inside his front, how to affect those billonaires to get worse

7-Under this conditions the current correlation of forces are in favor of RU allies and against US-NATO allies. But they have big military power and have the UN-IMF in their favor. But war is war & is win with actions in the battle camp, the other words don affected much, although they  control of the press media worldwide. They will never accept the ‘genocide’ on Dombass (Donetsk and Lugansk) and the fact is that NATO is losing the war inside. RU is about to demolish Poland’ nuke base (the key place of NATO) and bye bye to them. Ukraine will install a new Govt & once the correlation of forces inside is pro-autonomy from NATO, they my proceed to elections. Meanwhile the prisoner dilemma is the trap that Ukraine has to face.

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