LIBYA n THE WORLD BETWEEN PEACE n WAR

LIBYA n THE WORLD BETWEEN PEACE n WARHAZ, march 3, 2011
PEACE n WAR

1. As soon as Hugo Chavez made the proposal for peace, the speculation on oil prices starts falling down.

Oil Drops Most in a Week in New York on Libya Peace Plan ReportBloomberg. BusinessWeek. By Christian Schmollinger. March 3 (Bloomberg) -- Oil dropped the most in a week in New York after the Arab League said it is studying ways to end the crisis in Libya that has cut crude supplies from Africa’s third-biggest producer. Crude fell as much as 1.8 percent, the biggest intraday decline in a week, after the Wall Street Journal reported that Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez called Libyan leader Muammar Qaddafi and offered to help create a multinational mediation commission. (http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-03-03/crude-oil-drops-most-in-a-week-on-libya-crisis-resolution-plan.html)

1.1 Before the peace proposal, in March the 2nd Gaddafi attacks on rebels sparked fears that the troops loyal to his regime will recapture the key oil ports. However “The patchwork opposition continues to control swathes of eastern and western Libya including Benghazi and some oil installations. Gaddafi remains firmly in control of the capital Tripoli… There have also been reports that Mr Gaddafi and the president of the Arab League are considering a plan that would allow an international peacekeeping mission to mediate the crisis.

The plan, put forward by Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez, would involve a commission from Latin America, Europe and the Middle East trying to reach a negotiated outcome between Mr Gaddafi and rebel forces.
Mr Chavez says the international community should seek a non-military solution to the conflict and accuses the United States of exaggerating Libya's problems to justify an invasion.

Clinton double speaking on "No-fly zone". She hide the fact that the US administration was getting ready to bomb Libya, divide the contry and take control of oil reserves without regard of human cost. All this with the complicity of ICC.

"US secretary of state Hillary Clinton says any such decision is a "long way off" and that NATO officials remained divided.
She has also warned any intervention would be "controversial" in the Arab world and that the Libyan opposition wanted to be seen to be dislodging Mr Gaddafi's forces on their own.
Mr Rudd has urged the United Nations to consider putting a no-fly zone in place over Libya, and says measures should be taken to prevent the Libyan airforce from bombing the civilian population.

"The bottom line is the Gaddafi regime is not finished”.

Speaking live on state television, Mr Gaddafi warned the "battle will be very, very long" if there is any intervention by foreign powers.
"If the Americans or the West want to enter Libya they must know it will be hell and a bloodbath - worse than Iraq."(http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2011/03/03/3154574.htm)

Without doubts, the rebels are heavily armed by foreign countries (it is being said that three dutch mercenaries have been captured the Gadaffi loyal army and that this leader warned foreign powers of "another Vietnam" if they continue intervening in the popular uprising against his 41-year rule.

2. Gaddafi n the Arab League accepted the peace plan The more recent news from the major stock market company in India:

“Libya, Arab League OK with peace plan” Shares of Punj Lloyd rose as much as 5.5 percent after the Libyan leader Muammar Gadaffi and the president of the Arab League agreed to a peace plan from Venezuela's President Hugo Chavez to end the crisis in the North African country, three dealers said. (http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/stocks-in-news/punj-lloyd-up-libya-arab-league-ok-peace-plan/articleshow/7617650.cms)

3. The real meaning of No-fly zone. Immediately, the mass media in the US announced US plan to start bombing Libya under the pretext of Human Rights with the complicity of the ICC that is accusing Libya of committing crimes against humanity. War appears to be the way of revamping the US economy. Rachel Maddow in MSNBC made a clear statement on the meaning of “free fly zone on Libya”: Not transcript open http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26315908/#41879822

3.1 The US is arming the opposition rebels against Gaddafi.
U.S. assault ships clear Suez, enter Mediterranean.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/02/us-libya-usa-ships-idUSTRE72169F20110302
WASHINGTON | Wed Mar 2, 2011
Reuters) - Two U.S. amphibious assault ships have reached the Mediterranean Sea, a U.S. official said on Wednesday, as Washington intensifies pressure on Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi to end his four-decade rule.
The USS Ponce and the USS Kearsarge, assault ships that typically carry Marines, cleared the Suez Canal from the Red Sea and entered the Mediterranean, the official said on condition of anonymity.
The United States also has an aircraft carrier, the USS Enterprise, in the Red Sea but military officials have not said whether it will be sent to the Mediterranean.
The Obama administration has said all options are on the table to deal with the Libya crisis but the Pentagon may be reluctant to launch any new military action as it grapples with the costs of ongoing wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.
(Reporting by Missy Ryan; Editing by Sandra Maler)

3.2 The war ahead. Barcos de guerra de Estados Unidos se dirigen a Libia. Demcracy Now! Fuente: http://www.democracynow.org/es/2011/3/2/titulares#6
Dos barcos de guerra estadounidenses ingresaron en aguas del Mediterráneo procedentes del Canal de Suez en dirección a Libia por orden del Secretario de Defensa Robert Gates. En Washington, la Secretaria de Estado Hillary Clinton dijo que Estados Unidos no ha descartado una intervención militar.

La Secretaria Clinton dijo: "No descartamos ninguna opción en tanto que el gobierno libio siga apuntando sus armas a su propio pueblo. Toda la región está cambiando y una respuesta firme y estratégica de Estados Unidos es fundamental. En los próximos años, Libia se podría convertir en una democracia pacífica o de lo contrario, enfrentar una prolongada guerra civil o caer en el caos. Los riesgos son altos”.

4. The social costs of the war will be transferred to the periphery. At world level, those countries that are importing oil and gas will face a major problem: inflation, higher food prices, and civil unrest. Trade unions either public and private will submit their claims for higher wages to keep up with rising prices, which led to street confrontation In India, for instance, one of the key corporation advising the government (Chief Economic Advisor Kaushik Basu) said the government will have not option but free diesel if crude touches $140-150 (http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/7620309.cms). Global crude oil prices are at the highest level since 2008, touching $ 116 per barrel in March 1st.What the other choices?. Basu said “if international crude oil prices continue to remain high for a longer time the government will have to make a tough choice between hiking diesel and cooking fuel prices and shelling out more on oil subsidies to companies.”.

He did not mention the pollution cost-effects on people’s health as the result of using diesel, nor the cuts on social expenses in the national budget if the government has to create subsidies to companies in the business of oil prices. Like in India, similar situation will be face by other emerging economies. In the US where civil unrest already start and Europe is at the brink of fit, they will use fiscal policies and printing more money to face the situation, with good effects in the short term but very dangerous one in mid and longer terms. In other words, the social costs of the war will be transferred to the periphery in the global market.