miércoles, 30 de septiembre de 2020

WHERE WE ARE & WHERE WE GO

 

WHERE WE ARE  & WHERE WE GO

DONDE ESTAMOS  Y ADONDE VAMOS.

Hugo Adan

9/30/20 20

 

Read my 7 points  at the end of this article

MY VIEW  is based on this article:

 

TWO CRUCIAL THINGS EMERGED FROM THE FIRST PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE 

Most significantly, though, Biden and Trump each made a critical point

Biden’s was a tacit admission that, if he is elected president, he will preside over the end of the filibuster, allowing Democrats to pack the courts and add two new Democrat-majority states. Trump’s point was that he’s holding damning evidence about the Democrats’ coup attempt.

Chris Wallace, in one of the few tough questions he posed to Biden, said this:

So my question to you is, you have refused in the past to talk about it, are you willing to tell the American tonight whether or not you will support either ending the filibuster or packing the court?

Biden refused to answer, something the Trump quickly challenged. Here’s the colloquy:

BIDEN: Whatever position I take on that, that’ll become the issue. The issue is the American people should speak. You should go out and vote. You’re voting now. Vote and let your Senators know strongly how you feel.

TRUMP: Are you going to pack the court?

BIDEN: Vote now.

TRUMP: Are you going to pack the court?

BIDEN: Make sure you, in fact, let people know, your Senators.

TRUMP: He doesn’t want to answer the question.

BIDEN: I’m not going to answer the question.

TRUMP: Why wouldn’t you answer that question? You want to put a lot of new Supreme Court Justices. Radical left.

BIDEN: Will you shut up, man?

TRUMP: Listen, who is on your list, Joe? Who’s on your list?

WALLACE: Gentlemen, I think we’ve ended this-

BIDEN: This is so un-Presidential.

TRUMP: He’s going to pack the court. He is not going to give a list.

You can see that Biden made a nonsense statement to avoid answering whether he will preserve the filibuster and the Supreme Court’s current system of nine justices. Shamefully, Wallace let him get away with not answering. Wallace surely understands that Biden’s handlers plan to end the filibuster so that they can pack the court and add D.C. and Puerto Rico as states.

Andrea Widburg the author of this art  -clearly a trumpist- said:

Packing the court ends the American experiment as we know it. It means that the Supreme Court will be a political body that will exist solely to put its imprimatur on Democrat policies. And for those who say, “Well, if they pack the Court, then Republicans will pack it more when they’re in power,” that’s sadly foolish.

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MY VIEW

1-Who initiate this ‘sadly foolish’ game was Trump. He could’ve wait until election results are done, but decide to add gasoline to the fire.  Now he is burned in it.

2-We need a radical change of the US political system and new electoral rules, that is the only way to go beyond the neoliberal system that is collapsing worldwide and specially in our country.. Now we have the chances to do so by adding DC & Pto Rico as new States. That was the most obvious tit for tat to the total centralization of power in hands of the Reps.

3-Now will come the referendums in all those states controlled by Reps. The parallel gob emerging from referendums will put an end to the fascist regime in America. Their dictatorship will be erased from US political map and a new Rep party  will emerge, a one more democratic than the current one.

4-The most important change coming is the emerging of the third option: the People National Front that will mix capitalism with socialism as happens in China, and Scandinavian countries,  and now emerging in some American States too. This will replace the duopoly chaotic system we have today (Dems vs Reps), that is the source of political violent chaos and economic dominance of big billonairs served by both parties.

5-The third choice will introduce the equilibrium or homeostasis -the Pareto’s  dream- in our country. Then governability will be established with legitimacy, social peace and cohesion, that will serve to all  americans, not only the elites of billionaires.

6-To assure governability we need that the party winning democratic election get the 50% of political power in senate, house & governatures. The 2nd party most voted in election should get the 30% of political and the 3rd one the 20%.

7-Then we will have a democratic system with auto-reproduction dynamic as designed  by Niklas Luhmann, Maturana & Varela (los biologos chilenos que patentaron el concepto autopoiesis in social systems)  Este  es  el  Estado de equilibrio mejor elaborado hasta ahora. China es el más cercano país a este modelo , algunos paises escandinavos también y nosotros estamos en las mejores condiciones para lograrlo y mejor aun. Hay que salir del modelo duopolico en politica (introducir el punto medio or third choice) y salir también del modelo neoliberal.  Si podemos crear un nuevo sistema mundial sin imperios, sin WW3 y con auto-desarrollo para todos.  A esto vamos desde donde estamos.  La propuesta de Biden de crear dos nuevos Estados (DC & Pto Rico) es muy correcta, eso nos permitirá lograr equilibrio de fuerzas en la Corte Suprema. En CONCLUSIÓN: we  know where we are going to. Si sabemos adonde vamos. Es el camino correcto  hacia un modelo de socialismo nuevo. If you don want to called socialism, much better even. Si no le quiere llamar socialism, mejor aún. Because what we have in mind  goes beyong current socialism. Lo que tenemos en mente va más allá del socialism existente hoy. The new socialism will be historic creation of our nation. Este nuevo socialism será creación histórica de nuestra patria . This new socialism is alredy emerging  in several states of our country. Este nuevo socialism esta ya naciendo en varios estados de nuestro país.  WE WILL WIN.!  VENCEREMOS!.    

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martes, 29 de septiembre de 2020

DEBATE SOBRE FUTURO DE LA NACIÓN NO HUBO

 

DEBATE SOBRE FUTURO DE LA NACIÓN  NO HUBO

Hugo Adan

9/29/2020

 

1-      A la clase trabajadora no se le puede decir que la tirania sufrida no existió.

2-      Que el CV 19 está siendo derrotado  y que ya viene la vacuna final

3-      Que tenemos la mejor economía del mundo , etc, etc

Que eso lo digan 2 blancos que nunca sufrieron esa tirania no es nuevo. Pero que a esto le llamen debate decente no lo acepto:

 

1ro , porque el arbitro  o moderador no solo debio sugerir los temas de debate sino sobre todo poner las reglas del juego  que el mismo debió respetar  y no lo hizo.

 

2do, porque Trump se lo metio al referi al bolsilos cuantas veces lo quizo. Jamas freno sus interrupciones a Biden. Simplemente no hubo moderador, y eso fue cualquier cosa  (quizá partido de restling en lugar de box, quizá futbol de calle por teenagers).  Como referi debio estar por encima de los contricantes y le tuvo miedo al Pdte.

 

3ro: porque el debate debió ser sobre el futuro de la nación y NO sobre un pasado que todos conocemos. Si cree Trump que las mentiras que dijo las va  a creer el pueblo esta equivocado. Con Trump en el poder el pueblo sabe hoy  lo que es tiranía fascista, jamás se olvidara  de los negros asesinados en las calles ni de los jóvenes blanco y latinos que sufrieron esa tirania.

 

El pueblo que no cree en ambos partidos no ha perdido nada. Seguira votando por la ABSTENCION, MIENTRAS NO EXISTA 3RA OPTION  por quien votar. Y eso lo va a conseguir con un FRENTE POPULAR  cuando  llame a REFEREMDUM A NIVEL NACIONAL,  entonces podremos hablar de real democracia en nuestro pais. A esto le llamo REV y es lo vamos a lograr cuando creemos un gobierno paralelo a quien gane  las elecciones de hoy plagadas de fraude y de mentiras.

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SEP 29 20 ND SIT EC y POL

SEP  29  20 ND SIT EC y POL

ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco

 

Service restored.  It was cut for few minutes. I got scare

 

ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS

Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

 

Where is my Money?

BONDS & BULLION BID AS STOCKS & DOLLAR SKID

COVID concerns (NFL cases and NYC positivity rates), a lack of stimulus progression, and the uncertainty ahead of tonight's presidential debate weighed on stocks and the dollar, but sparked a safe-haven bid under bonds and precious metals...

The machines tried as usual to get back to even but with no lasting luck (weakness into Asia close and European close and US close..

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-09-29_12-59-32.jpg?itok=TpIdcJku

 

"Where's my money!"

Gold futures topped $1900...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-09-29_12-02-51.jpg?itok=PLsGCm1n

 

Gold bounced off its 100DMA...

See Chart:

Spot Gold  100 DMA

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm794E_0.jpg?itok=mzQAsHqq

 

As Real yields tumbled, precious metals were bid...

See Chart:

Ten Y real yield (inv)  vs Spot gold

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmCA7_1.jpg?itok=bmcVdooC

 

Election uncertainty continued to surge

With the VIX curve notably perturbed...

See Chart:

VIX Term structure:  todas vs two Wks ago

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm87E4.jpg?itok=qIFXNaiM

 

The B-dollar Index  leaked lower again today...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm9A05_0.jpg?itok=dQGcpO3_

 

Bonds were bid very modestly on the day with 10Y Yields back to A 63bps handle...

See Chart:

UST 10Y Yield

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmFE65.jpg?itok=aTs5Pgu3

 

Cryptos were lower on the day

Silver futures back above $24...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-09-29_12-22-22.jpg?itok=1V66lejO

 

Which pushed the Gold/Silver ratio back below 80x...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmE612_0.jpg?itok=A-nBFPNK

 

Finally, as Bloomberg notes, oil trading is grinding to a halt with the market concerned about the coronavirus pandemic’s impact on demand and supply cuts from OPEC+ producers.

See Chart:

WTI Futs Volume down

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmB0C5.jpg?itok=j6vKu8fX

 

And as the month comes to an end, we note that the USDollar is outperforming gold in September by the most since Trump was elected...

See Chart:

US Dollar- Gold  monthly performance

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmC77B.jpg?itok=6esaLEB4

….

SOURCE:  https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bonds-bullion-bid-stocks-dollar-skid

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No chances for US  of good business with oil until 2026

WTI REBOUNDS ABOVE $39 AFTER SURPRISE CRUDE DRAW  

Another surprise crude draw last week according to API data but a surprise gasoline product build offset some of the excitement...

The sell-off in equities, “which have been propping up oil prices recently, is exposing the oil markets’ weak fundamental backdrop,” said Ryan Fitzmaurice, commodities strategist at Rabobank.

WTI was hovering around $39 ahead of the API data and bounced modestly on the data...

SEE CHART:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-09-29_13-30-46.jpg?itok=SwGLWCEL

 

We do note that the clashes between Armenia and Azerbaijan have "kept markets on edge," as an escalation in the conflict "could affect oil and gas exports from Azerbaijan," said analysts at ICICI Bank.

Three of the world’s biggest independent oil traders said consumption won’t meaningfully recover for at least another 18 months. That comes as Total SE said demand growth will end around 2030 and Pierre Andurand, chief investment officer and founder of Andurand Capital Management LLP, called for demand to peak in 2026.

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YALE ECONOMIST WARNS OF LOOMING DOLLAR COLLAPSE 

...three factors will ultimately doom the dollar..

Peter Schiff has been warning about a looming dollar collapse. During an appearance on Fox Business in July, Peter said the dollar isn’t just going down, it’s going to crash.

“I think the dollar is going to keep drifting down until it collapses,” Peter said. 

“And this is going to usher in a real economic crisis in America, unlike something we’ve ever seen.

Peter is not alone. In a recent article published on SCMP.com, Yale economist Stephen Roach said he expects the dollar to plunge by as much as 35% next year.

Roach lists three factors he thinks will ultimately doom the dollar.

This reflects three considerations:

1.       the rapid deterioration in macroeconomic imbalances in the United States,

2.       the ascendancy of the euro and renminbi as alternatives, and

3.       the end of the aura of American exceptionalism that has given the dollar Teflon-like resilience for most of the post-World War II era.”

Roach called the confluence of an erosion in domestic savings and the current account deficit “nothing short of staggering.”

Contiune reading at:

SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/yale-economist-warns-looming-dollar-collapse

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WE'VE REACHED "THE ENDPOINT" - MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY WON'T HELP

"Society is addicted to debt, and theaddiction consumes the addict. The endpoint is a rapid collapse of confidence in U.S. debt and the U.S. dollar..."

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JPM PAYS RECORD $1 BILLION FINE; ADMITS SPOOFING OF GOLD AND TREASURIES 

"Not only will the company pay a substantial financial penalty and return money to victims, but this agreement requires JPMorgan to self-report violations of the federal anti-fraud laws..."

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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS

Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

 

TRUMP CAMPAIGN RELEASES "17 QUESTIONS JOE BIDEN MUST ANSWER IN THE DEBATE" 

"Is that the only time you've said the N-word?"

See the full list below:

  1. Your son Hunter Biden received a $3.5 million wire transfer from a Russian billionaire who was married to the former mayor of Moscow. He also had a joint bank account with a Chinese national that financed $100,000 in credit card purchases around the world. This all happened while you were Vice President. Why would people connected to the Russian and Chinese governments want to give your son millions of dollars?
     
  2. You recently said you “got started” at Delaware State University, an HBCU. The school says they have no record of you ever attending. What did you major in there?
     
  3. In June you said you were vetting your own potential Supreme Court picks and promised you would release your own list. Now you say you won’t release a list. Why go back on your pledge?
     
  4. Your running mate Kamala Harris said last year that she was open to adding as many as 4 seats to the Supreme Court. Now more leading Democrats are saying your party should pack the Supreme Court if they get the chance. Are you refusing to answer whether you will go along with this radical plan because you are too weak to stand up to it?
     
  5. In January 2017, you said that Democrats should not block President Trump’s nominees for the Supreme Court. You said you believe the Constitution “requires” the Senate “to give the nominee a hearing and a vote.” In 2016 you said “would go forward with the confirmation process” of a Supreme Court nominee “even a few months before a presidential election … just as the Constitution requires." Now you say the Constitution requires the exact opposite. How do you reconcile that change?
     
  6. In 2008 you promised Americans that if they made less than $250,000 they would not pay a penny more in taxes. You broke that promise and imposed new taxes that directly impacted middle-class Americans. Now you’re claiming you won’t raise taxes on anyone making more than 400,000. Why should voters believe you now, especially since you’ve said you will reinstate the individual mandate tax?
     
  7. As Vice President, you oversaw the weakest economic recovery since the Great Depression. What would you do differently if you were elected?
     
  8. Your plan would raise the U.S. business tax rate higher than China’s rate. Won’t that make it more expensive for companies to do business in America and ultimately send jobs overseas?
     
  9. President Trump imposed restrictions on travel from China on January 31to combat the spread of the coronavirus. Why did it take you two months to say you supported that decision?
     
  10. In 2008 you and Barack Obama promised to fully fund the federal COPS program, which provides resources to local law enforcement. But funding for this program was cut while you were vice president, despite your promise. Why did you fail to keep your word?
     
  11. Earlier this year your campaign staff donated money to the Minnesota Freedom Fund, an organization that bailed out of a jail a rioter who shot at police officers and other violent criminals and sexual predators. Your running mate Kamala Harris also urged people to donate to that organization and is still raising money for it. Do you condone that?
     
  12. You say if you’re elected you’ll push to give citizenship to the 11 million undocumented people in our country. Why do you believe they should receive Medicare and Social Security benefits?
     
  13. When you were running for president in 2007, both you and Obamapledged to renegotiate NAFTA, a promise you did not keep when you were in office. You recently blamed Republicans for this, saying they wouldn’t go along with it, but Democrats controlled Congress in 2009 when the Obama Administration announced it would not even try to change NAFTA. So why did you fail to keep your word?
     
  14. When you voted to give China “most favored nation” trade status in 2000,you said you did not foresee “the collapse of the American manufacturing economy” because of it. But by one estimate, it led to the loss of 1 million manufacturing jobs in the U.S. Do you acknowledge that your vote to give China most favored nation trade status was a mistake that hurt American workers?
     
  15. The 2009 H1N1 swine flu pandemic infected 60 million Americans when you were VP, and the federal government depleted its strategic stockpile of N95 masks in response. A fact check by USA Today found that your administration made no effort to replenish the stockpile of masks, despite warnings from experts. Do you accept responsibility for that failure, which left America unprepared for another pandemic?
     
  16. Your campaign says it is a “lie” that “the Biden-Harris ticket is the most radically pro-abortion” ticket “in U.S. history.” Are there any restrictions on abortion that you support, and if so, please be specific?  
     
  17. You said the N-word 13 times during a 1985 Senate nomination fight, when you were quoting something attributed to someone else. Do you think that was appropriate to do? Is that the only time you’ve said the N-word?

SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/trump-campaign-releases-17-questions-joe-biden-must-answer-debate

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DOES TONIGHT'S DEBATE EVEN MATTER? 

In the last 10 elections with debate reaction data stretching back to 1976, only 2 candidates who were perceived to have won the first debate went on to win the election.

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BIDEN RELEASES 2019 TAX RETURNS HOURS BEFORE FIRST DEBATE; PAID $300,000 IN TAXES 

With just over 8 hours to go before the first debate, Joe Biden and his wife, Jill, released their 2019 tax returns.

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TRUMP CAMPAIGN REJECTS BIDEN REQUEST FOR DEBATE BREAK EVERY 30 MINS, DEMANDS 'EAR-PIECE' INSPECTIONS 

Questions have swirled for months over whether Biden would even show up for the debates, with Nancy Pelosi repeatedly suggesting he should skip them altogether...

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"CRASH-UP RISK": WHAT IF THE ELECTION IS NOT THE "DOOMSDAY EVENT" THE VIX EXPECTS IT TO BE   Very nice charts here

The odd thing is that "crash-UP" market risk is more pronounced than "crash-DOWN" - especially with VIX already pricing in election doomsday

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GOLD FUTURES JUMP BACK TO $1900 AS REAL YIELDS TUMBLE 

While the USD is not fading dramatically, it is the renewed tumble in real yieldsthat appears to be triggering a renewed dip-buying feast in precious metals...

I showed the chart above

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The US imperial power is over and we do not have post neoliberal plan

JIM QUINN: THE ONLY THING 'SYSTEMATIC' IS THE DESTRUCTION OF AMERICA 

We are far from the republic Franklin and his fellow patriots gave us, and as Franklin foreshadowed, we were unable to keep it...

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"CORRUPTION !!!" - FURIOUS TRUMP QUESTIONS WHY OBSERVERS WERE BARRED FROM EARLY VOTING SITES 

Trump observers are being denied entry to the satellite voting locations across the city...

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THE MOST MISERABLE PLACE ON EARTH: DISNEY FIRING 28,000 WORKERS 

Two-thirds of the newly laid-off workers are part-time employees: they will be happy to know that Disney loaded up on massive debt so it could fund stock buybacks.

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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)

Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

 

Risk of  WW3 with Trump are pretty clear:

'RAPID STRIKES TO FOLLOW': IRAQIS SEE US THREAT TO SHUTTER EMBASSY AS PRELUDE TO WAR 

US doesn't “want to be limited in their options” to weaken Iran or pro-Iranian militias in Iraq.

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Tax evasion is serious crime. Trump must be in jail

HOW MANY OF THESE QUESTIONS WILL CHRIS WALLACE ASK JOE BIDEN? 

"You have vowed to rescind the Trump tax cuts.  Can you think of a single example of a country that recovered from a recession by raising taxes?"

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TURKEY REJECTS ARMENIAN DEFENSE MINISTRY CLAIM ITS JET SHOT DOWN BY TURKISH F-16 

“Armenia should withdraw from territories under its occupation instead of resorting to these cheap propaganda tricks,” Erdogan's office said.

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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS

GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

 

- Pompeo to Travel to Japan, South Korea, Mongolia From 4-8 October

- Trump Authorizes $22 Billion Alaska-Alberta Railway Construction

- RU National Nikulin Sentenced by US Court to 7 Years in Prison Over Cybercrime

- Beijing Warns US Politicians Against 'Dragging' China Into US Election 'Drama' Ahead of First Debate

- UNSC Will Do Everything it Can to Ease Situation Between Armenia and Azerbaijan

- Russian Servicemen Killed Over 133,000 Militants in Syria, Defence Minister Says

- Trump Camp Report  Asking for Third Party to Check on Ear Devices Ahead of Debate

- Normalisation Voices Unlikely to Change Kuwait's Stance on Israe

- Iraqi Prime Minister Confirms US May Close Embassy If Shelling Continues

- Ditched Ballots in Battleground States: Are GOP & Trump's Concerns Over Mail-In Vote Justified?

- North Korea Performing ‘Elaborate Evasion Practices’ to Flout Nuclear Sanctions

- Trump Arrives in Cleveland for First 2020 Presidential Debate

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