Nueva Democracia

Nuestro sistema politico es absoleto pues recrea el poder economico y politico de trasnacionales y socios internos quienes impiden el desarrollo sostenido del pais. La nueva democracia tiene que armarse a partir de organizaciones de base en movimiento. Imposible seguir recreando el endeudamiento, el pillaje y la corrupcion. Urge reemplazar el presidencialismo por parlamentarismo emergido del poder local y regional. Desde aqui impulsaremos debate y movimiento de bases por una NUEVA DEMOCRACIA

viernes, 2 de octubre de 2020

US SANCTIONS P2 of:

SHUT UP MAN & DISMANTLE OF US IMPERIAL TERROR

Cállate estúpido vs .Terrorism Imperial

Hugo Adan

10/2/2020

Let’s start with definition

What are US sanctions?

A simple definition suggests that sanctions are a violent response to issues at dispute between two countries, issues that could’ve been resolved via honest communications and fair negotiation. So, there are two categories that can help as framework for negotiation: honest communication & fair deal. If sanctions precedes dialog to solve the problem, then they are not sanctions, hey are acts of aggression and acts of war if military threat are involve. That has to be rejected & solve by other means.

Dos Sanctions always imply the use of "forceful measures" that states use in their international relations?. Not always, but Now YES , it does include threats of force like the provision of weapons to Taiwan, against China. Does it include internal mobilization of troops ? Not always but now YES, It does so, case of 48 thousand soldiers sent from US-NATO to the border of China & RU.

The game sanction, always, involves an aggressor and a sanctioner, even though the players may change sides when different issues arise or when peace-deal comes up.

In the history of US – China relations (Jan 2018 on: Trump’ regime): United States wanted two major things from China: the cessation of Chinese pirating of American intellectual properties (movies, books, recordings, television shows), and an improvement in the human rights of the Chinese people.

These were not reciprocal desires (first condition for honest dialogue):the Chinese were not arguing that their intellectual property is being pirated by Americans, as it happens with Covid-19 vaccine-issue, and China is not arguing that the American people should enjoy a higher standard of human rights, specially blacks. Thus the situation was not easily resolvable by treaty.

Forceful (military) sanctions should ‘ve not used by US. But the United States used to impose a raise of tariff barriers against the importation of Chinese goods. So sanctions were misused and abused by the US.

[ Fair Negotiation on this issue never comes up, a key requisite for fair deal was missed]

SUMMING UP: Threats has nothing to do with fair deal, when the issue sanction came up. . [ and this is what the empire does not only with China, worse with small countries]

The game sanctions always, involves an aggressor and a sanctioner, even though the players may change sides when different issues come up, or peace deals re-start.

Whatever their real intentions it was clear what the US was looking for: destruction of China economy . If sanctions come inside a context of xenophobia & war intentions, then there is no chance for fair deal. So sanctions became unpleasant and has to be rejected. .

Then it make sense the concept sanctions gave by A D'Amato - ‎2010 “A sanction can be any kind of unpleasantness (physical or mental) imposed upon another person or another state. If you are perceived as the initiator or "aggressor" in imposing the unpleasantness, then it is not a "sanction." It is an act of aggression and war”. https://scholarlycommons.law.northwestern.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1094&context=facultyworkingpapers

….

WHAT ARE THE LEGAL BASIS FOR SANCTIONS?

None at all:

According to the Charter of the United Nations, only the UN Security Council has a mandate by the international community to apply sanctions (Article 41) that must be complied with by all UN member states (Article 2,2). They serve as the international community's most powerful peaceful means to prevent threats to international peace and security or to settle them. Sanctions do not include the use of military force. However, if sanctions do not lead to the diplomatic settlement of a conflict, the use of force can only be authorized by the Security Council separately under Article 42.^{[citation needed]}

SO, sanctions has not legal basis at all.

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HOW SANCTION START

With IEEPA: The hammer that see every problem like a nail, in the hands of US Presid

Trump’s order to reimpose sanctions rests on authority granted under a little-known and even less understood statute that gives the president sweeping authority to regulate certain aspects of international trade and commerce: the International Emergency Economic Powers Act: IEEPA

What is it? Perhaps better known by its acronym, IEEPA ‘is the 1977 Congressional legislation enacted to limit the president’s national emergency powers’.

Oddly, though, it has done the exact opposite.

What can the president do under IEEPA? Perhaps a better question is, what can’t the president do under IEEPA. Since its passage, presidents have relied on IEEPA to enact financial and economic sanctions against a host of countries, including Iran, North Korea, Syria, South Sudan, Russia, and Cuba to name a few, for threats ranging from terrorism and narcotics trafficking to human rights violations and WMD proliferation.

One of the first uses was against Iran in 1979 over the hostage crisis. Signed by then-President Jimmy Carter, the sanctions froze Iranian assets and properties within the United States.

In fact, since 2000, Presidents have used IEEPA in more than 400 executive actions. Not all of these actions were new, however. Some extended the timetable or expanded the scope of previous orders.

Who enforces IEEPA? For sanctions imposed under executive orders that rest on IEEPA authorities, it is the Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Asset Control (OFAC) that is responsible for maintaining lists of designated individuals and companies, as well as implementing regulations and enforcing violations. Running afoul of sanctions may incur regulatory penalties such as fines, but there are also criminal penalties for violating IEEPA.

In August 2017, Federal prosecutors filed a criminal complaint against Dandong Zhicheng Metallic Material Co., Ltd.—a China-based company—for its role in helping North Korea evade sanctions.

Thus far, Congress has left presidents’ use of IEEPA relatively unchecked. The exception has been the occasional piece of legislation, like the Comprehensive Iran Sanctions.

A president wields IEEPA like a hammer will see every problem like a nail. Clearly, IEEPA is a useful legal authority to preventing the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, but it is also an instrument best used and most effective when there is a multilateral consensus. It is doubtful that continuing to project American foreign policy, using IEEPA, will result in anything but a reaction by our allies to insulate themselves against US exposure.

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ONE FINAL POINT ON SANCTIOBS

There are several types of sanctions.

Economic sanctions – typically a ban on trade, possibly limited to certain sectors such as armaments, or with certain exceptions (such as food and medicine)^[6]
Diplomatic sanctions – the reduction or removal of diplomatic ties, such as embassies.
Military sanctions – military intervention
Sport sanctions – preventing one country's people and teams from competing in international events.
Sanctions on Environment – since the declaration of the United Nations Conference on the Human Environment, international environmental protection efforts have been increased gradually.

Economic sanctions are distinguished from trade sanctions, which are applied for purely economic reasons, and typically take the form of tariffs or similar measures, rather than bans on trade.

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jueves, 1 de octubre de 2020

THE SHIRT ON TRUMP

“AFTER TELLING SITTING PRESIDENT TO "SHUT UP, MAN" - BIDEN BEGINS SELLING T-SHIRTS “ (OPEN IT)

So unpresidential...

Biden campaign has started selling T-Shirts with the phrase "WILL YOU SHUT UP, MAN".

…

MAKE IT BETTER : at the top with red print in small letters To Trump , and in the bottom with big letter SHUT UP MAN, + his face behind it. In the back of the shirt a brief slogan against WW3. Then the shirt can be sold worldwide . My daughter in Germany (Dr. visiting hospital over there, called me to get this shirt. European are afraid of war escalation bet AR-AZ (Us & Turkey are in favor to AZ) . A friend of mine in Iran called me to buy : 10 T Shirts. A Brazilian friend ask me the same: he wanted 4. So we have to make a new edition of this shirt, so it can be sold world-wide. My address just in case: Hugo Zegarra, 314 Ophelia Street. Pittsburgh PA. My family in the US wanted too.

SHUT UP MAN, is a strong mesage against US preponderance or autoritarism (blind submission to US military power), that autoritarism is what Trump showed during the debate with Biden. This type of power is fake & inflated power since tech advances make WW3 an stupid risk from irrational people. The one who launch a nuke missile can receive 10 in minutes. Submarines in the ocean of US are connected with satelites for immediate response. MAD is the only outcome of WW3. This game WW3 is obsolete & the military investment is an idiotic waste of money (money that a Nations need it).

Tomorrow I will send an article on this inflated and fake military power. Wars can be regional exchange of short missiles but once it gets to nuke war, is the end of the story: that is mutual genocide & suicide (full of new pandemias). That is why we need a brief message in the back of the shirt Agast ww3. Make the new Shirts with attractive colors for young people, and females. “People in the world hate Trump to DEATH” . Nice occasion to make anti-imperialist & anti-ww3 propaganda.

I don’t thing Trump will be re-elected, but if happens (+ considering the Biden is also a pro-war candidate) you can print the new set of shirts with : To US Presid… SHUT UP MAN and in the back with small letters : We don’t want… US-NATO’ WW3.

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0CT 1 20 ND SIT EC y POL

ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco

ZERO HEDGE ECONOMICS

Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

STIMULUS?

COPPER, CRUDE, CRYPTO, & CREDIT CLOBBERED AS STIMULUS HOPES FADE

"Stimulus On, Stimulus Off"...

That was the tale of the tape today as markets shrugged off various disappointing economic data and the algos just pumped and dumped on whatever keyword was selected from Pelosi, Meadows, or Mnuchin...From yesterday afternoon's stimulus optimism highs, The Dow is down and Nasdaq managing to hold some gains...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-10-01_12-48-57_0.jpg?itok=_BPqUA4A

Personal Incomes unexpectedly tumbled, Manufacturing surveys disappointed, and over 830,000 Americans filed for first time jobless claims last week, and Challenger job cuts screamed higher - probably nothing!

See Chart:

“Layoff” Story Count

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmEEA0_0.jpg?itok=gC6pcFxu

So layoffs... and stocks... are soaring?

But copper, crude, cryptos, and credit all suffered...

Extreme positioning and growth fears combined to crush Dr.Copper's economics PhD forecast...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-10-01_12-02-13.jpg?itok=7_e6nGUC

We suspect more than one of these extreme specs got a tap on the shoulder today...

See Chart:

Copper net non-commercial specs

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-10-01%20%283%29_0.png?itok=_WbzL2Q3

Crude oil was clubbed like a baby seal, back below $40...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-10-01_12-01-27.jpg?itok=4DLFylgS

And as goes oil, so goes energy stocks - dumping to fresh six-month lows today...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-10-01_12-22-52.jpg?itok=J88TMVRs

Credit markets refused to play along with equity's exuberance...

See Chart:

S&P vs HYG

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmD856.jpg?itok=uUCxO2Q3

Bonds were bid today, erasing overnight weakness...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm37F2.jpg?itok=-w2wSIaJ

The B-dollar index limped lower for the 4th straight day...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm5E94.jpg?itok=SwF4AXhC

While crude and copper were clobbered, PMs rallied...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmA096.jpg?itok=nFjfD84_

Gold futures back above $1900...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-10-01_12-45-56.jpg?itok=XBOG18j4

Finally, there's this - Nasdaq bounced back up to the level of global central bank liquidity...

See Chart:

Nasdaq vs Global Central Bank Balance sheet

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm81E7.jpg?itok=ryVcSdD_

….

SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/copper-crude-crypto-credit-all-crumble-stimulus-hopes-fade

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"DE-DOLLARISATION THEME IS INTACT": LATEST IMF RESERVE DATA SHOWS CONTINUED FLIGHT FROM DOLLAR, INTO GOLD

No currency stood out as having benefited from the process so far. Instead, many central banks had turned to Gold.

On Wednesday, the IMF released the latest Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (COFER) report for Q2 2020. It showed that while the Dollar share of global reserves had increased in Q1 2020, likely on a combination of valuation effects and safe-haven demand, trend reversed abruptly in Q2 as shown in the Goldman chart below.

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/dollar%20depreciation.jpg?itok=uhrRCec2

The contraction in dollar reserves is hardly new: prior to the Covid-19 pandemic, the Dollar share of allocated reserves had been trending lower over the past two years (chart below, left), but that trend was interrupted in Q1 2020. However, the market recovery in Q2 helped to reverse most of the increase in the Dollar’s share from earlier this year. At the same time, the share of Euro reserves rebounded somewhat in Q2.

See Charts:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/share%20of%20dollar%20reserves%20GS%201.jpg?itok=GKR-G8sA

Additionally, the share of Yen reserves declined both on a headline basis and after adjusting for FX valuation changes. Meanwhile, the share of CNY reserves continues to steadily but slowly increase in what may be the most ominous trend in global reserve flows.

See Charts:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/share%20of%20CNY.jpg?itok=hh0v-Cus

From the perspective of reserve holders, BofA calculates that total FX reserves rose to over $12 trillion as global central banks aggressively intervened in FX markets, with more than half of all allocated reserves in US currency. Indeed, most major countries experienced a rise in FX reserves through Q2, with the exception of Turkey which continues to bleed reserves in order to stabilize its currency

See Charts:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bofa%20fx%20reserves.jpg?itok=gaTYqzbG

Echoing the Goldman observations above, BofA also writes that "the de-dollarisation theme appears intact", adding that the share of US holdings has declined to 61.3%, slightly more than expected based on FX, bond and equity valuation changes. The next two charts show the divergence vs USD performance, and the theoretical evolution of USD share based on valuation changes since 2014.

See Charts:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/USD%20TWI.jpg?itok=3ptp_WcE

This divergence between the level of USD reserves and that of USD TWI is expected to persist, as the world is decoupling from the USD as the notional reference peg.

Curiously, according to the BofA FX strategists, a deep dive into reserve flows highlights that there was no currency stood out as having benefited from the process so far. Instead, many central banks had turned to Gold. However, it now also appears that the pace of Gold purchases was levellng off.

See Chart:

USD vs FIAT vs USD vs Gold

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-10-01_0.jpg?itok=J8chGnOk

So, against the backdrop of global yields heading towards zero, the question of what assets/currency central banks would buy next remained open. Some of BofA's observations:

· The outlook was becoming more balanced in terms of CB demand for EUR bonds. The yield differential vs USTs had reduced, and new supportive factors were emerging - notably the political stability provided by the EU recovery fund and the growth in EUR-denominated Green bonds, but

· The synchronized shift towards QE and further unconventional policy measures would likely focus reserve managers' attention on a wider spectrum of assets, and, in the absence of a viable alternative to the USD, we might be entering into a multi-polar reserve currency world, with currency dominance det

The IMF's Q2 COFER breakdown supports both theories:

· The build-up of reserves in Q2 was most significant in EUR, at c. $23bn. This has allowed a slight increase in the EUR share of FX reserves, even as valuation adjustments would have projected a stable share (Chart 7). But, this increase is still extremely marginal. As BofA puts it, "the evidence so far suggests that reserve managers do not currently see any of the above as ready-made single alternative to the USD (instead, what was observed is a small build-up in each currency, except the JPY)."

See Charts:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/5-7.jpg?itok=c8WsSt7f

The "other currencies" component has risen markedly. Q2 saw the largest build-up of reserves in RMB and "other currencies" since 2Q18 (Chart 6, and Chart 8). The IMF does not provide a breakdown of "other currencies" but as with CAD and AUD in 2012, it may not be long before another currency is individually reported.

It is likely that this will be an emerging market currency.

See Charts:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/6-8_0.jpg?itok=eYjaoSlV

One final point: while the accumulation of the Chinese yuan continues, it remains at a very muted pace and hardly a threat to the dollar's reserve status any time soon. Indeed, as BofA noted above, "the evidence so far suggests that reserve managers do not currently see any of the above as ready-made single alternative to the USD."

As shown in the chart below, foreign investors now account for 9.2% of outstanding Chinese government bonds. China will be included into the WGBI next October 2021, after China was awarded a maximum score of 2 for "bond market accessibility" (which is hilarious and is why foreign investors are in for a shock once the next default cycle hits China).

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/fx%20holdings.jpg?itok=mb2zO5W6

….

SOURCE https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/de-dollarisation-theme-intact-latest-imf-reserve-data-shows-continued-flight-dollar-gold

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AMERICANS BURN THROUGH A STAGGERING $724BN IN ANNUALIZED SAVINGS IN AUGUST AS STIMULUS FADES

At this rate - absent a new fiscal stimulus deal - personal savings will be back to pre-covid levels in 2-3 month at the most.

Here lies the problem: lower income coupled higher spending in a time when the vast majority of Americans were looking forward to more stimulus meant that US consumer rapidly burned through savings. According to the BEA, in August, the amount of annualized savings tumbled by $723 billion to $2.435 trillion, the lowest since March and far below the $6.4 trillion peak in annualized personal savings hit in April.

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/monthly%20change%20savings.jpg?itok=hFh_EEbv

….

SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/americans-burn-through-staggering-724bn-annualized-savings-august-stimulus-fades

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STOCKS & BOND YIELDS SUDDENLY PLUNGE ON HOUSE STIMULUS HEADLINES

Confirming "no deal" today, headlines stating that a House vote on Democrats' stimulus deal is expected today, US equities and bond yields tumbled

The Dow is red while Nasdaq holds some gains for now...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-10-01_11-03-24.jpg?itok=xlXGBmbi

….

SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bond-yields-suddenly-plunge-house-stimulus-headlines

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US DOMESTIC POLITICS

Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

JIM QUINN: THE ONLY THING 'SYSTEMATIC' IS THE DESTRUCTION OF AMERICA, PART 2

"...the truth is, there is something terribly wrong with this country...Cruelty and injustice... intolerance and oppression... where once you had the freedom to object... you now have censors and systems of surveillance, coercing your conformity..."

The employees laid off by small businesses will be forced to beg for jobs at the mega-corps. This coordinated destruction of small businesses is a major step in our digression into a corporate fascist dystopian hellscape. This blatant war on the little guy has been lost with barely a whimper from the fearful masses.

This transfer of wealth from small business owners to the likes of Bezos and other mega-corps is small potatoes compared to the pillaging of the little guy by the Federal Reserve over the last century, and particularly over the last six months. The $3 trillion of debt created out of thin air since March and the ongoing $1 trillion per year have not benefited you or anyone you know.

See Chart:

Fed Balance Sheet

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/macrobond-1100x490.png?itok=Yvu3sd60

These trillions have been funneled directly to the vampire squid – Goldman Sachs and the rest of the Wall Street criminal cabal, along with billionaire hedge fund managers, and various connected Davos elite.

The Fed and the Davos elite depend upon the indoctrinated ignorance conveyed by government schooling to implement their relentless plundering of the people’s wealth.

Anyone living in the real world, not the fantasy model world of the Fed and Davos elite, knows they are being hammered by rising prices on everything they need to survive.

The massive inflation in stock prices since April has benefited the top .1%, while the unemployed and senior citizens have seen inflation in food, fuel, housing, medical care and used cars. These are the rates of inflation for a few things you might need since May, according to CNN:

Corn – 12%
Soybeans – 12%
Beef – 16%
Coffee – 27%
Sugar – 22%
Cocoa – 12%
Cotton – 12%
Unleaded Gas – 68%
Natural gas – 36%

Gasoline was priced low when we weren’t allowed to drive. As soon as people were allowed to go back to work, prices soared. With the poor struggling to get by, used car prices have soared by double digits since May. Home prices have continued their relentless increase, up 64% since 2012, pricing young families out of the market.

The Big Lie is the BLS reported inflation in medical care of less than 1%. Everyone knows that’s a lie. Medical premiums, co-pays, and deductibles have been rising at double digits for the last decade. We are being systematically destroyed by evil sociopaths in suits, pretending to be looking out for our best interests.

….

SOURCE:

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/jim-quinn-only-thing-systematic-destruction-america-part-2

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THE EMPIRE OF UNCERTAINTY

There are no roads out of the the Empire of Uncertainty nor are there any safe havens of absolute certainty within its shifting borders...

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog,

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INCREASING NUMBER OF AMERICANS BELIEVE VIOLENCE IS JUSTIFIED IF 'OTHER SIDE' WINS

"The events of this summer are especially worrying..."

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GALLUP FINDS MAJORITY OF AMERICANS BELIEVE TRUMP WILL WIN RE-ELECTION

STORY HIGHLIGHTS

· Trump's job approval is up from 42% earlier in September

· Except for approval on economy, issue approvals are below 50%

· 56% expect Trump will win the election; 40% think Biden will

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PETER SCHIFF WARNS OF "FOURTH QUARTER FIREWORKS"

"... the dollar is going to go down regardless of who the next president isand which party controls Congress. I mean, that should be abundantly clear based on the debate..."

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US-WORLD ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)

Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

POPE REFUSES POMPEO MEETING, SUGGESTS PLOT TO DRAG VATICAN INTO US ELECTION

Pompeo blasts Vatican's record of 'compromise' with Chinese Communist government in letting Beijing select bishops

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TRUMP SLASHES CAP FOR REFUGEE ADMISSIONS TO 'RECORD LOW' 15,000

Trump suspended processing of refugees between March and July, and the pace hasn't exactly rebounded.

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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS

GEO-POL n GEO-ECO ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

-Trump Confirms His Top Adviser Hope Hicks Tests Positive for COVID-19