Nueva Democracia: FEB 10- 2021 ND SIT EC y POL

FEB 10- 2021 ND SIT EC y POL

ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco

IMPEACHMENT: CONSERVATIVE TWITTER MOCKS DEMOCRATS OVER DISSECTED TRUMP TWEETS

"Fight like hell!"

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Tomorrow noon comes d defense of Trump: Reb by decree don’t wk.Fraud Yes

His Lawyers have to ‘fight like hell’ though they have upper hand: Constitution

Parlamentary System with 3^rd option: socialists, could replace rotten duo-syst

Trump choice of Patriot-party without 3^rd option will reproduce rotten system

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ZERO HEDGE ECONOMICS

Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

KOLANOVIC: A NEW COMMODITY SUPERCYCLE HAS BEGUN

JPM has a hot tip for investors:

the biggest systematic shorts are in the energy sector.

Two days after Dylan Grice published an article "The Stage is Set for a Bull Market in Oil", with various commodities around the world soaring, and the price of oil up a stunning 64% since November, today Marko Kolanovic made a bold prediction - that the world has entered a new commodity supercycle:

It is generally agreed that over the past 100 years, there were 4 Commodity supercycles and that the last one started in 1996 . We believe that the last supercycle peaked in 2008 (after 12 years of expansion), bottomed in 2020 (after a 12-year contraction) and that we likely entered an upswing phase of a new commodity supercycle.

The croatian quant first looks at history to answer "what drove the last supercycle" - according to him, "on the upswing, the most important driver was the economic rise of China (and EMs more broadly). USD was weakening and asset managers increasingly added commodity exposure to diversify portfolios." Then the 2008 global recession hit, coupled with further slowdown in Europe (2011) and China (2015) which sent commodities lower, defining the 12 year down cycle whose last leg "was marked by trade wars the ensuing global manufacturing recession, and the disastrous pandemic that sent oil prices into negative territory for the first time ever." This is summarized in the chart below.

See Chart:

The last Oil super cycle and its drivers

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/oil%20supercycle.jpg?itok=NqCFOE0_

Remarkably, most recently the number of shares shorted for energy was 4 times the S&P 500 average (note that given the decline of the sector’s weight, energy share prices declined, and the effective $ amount shorted was only 2 times larger). In other words, one doesn't even need to squeeze the shorts: come March - absent some major new crisis - as a result of broader market technical the prevailing shorts will close them out on their own and go long.

See Chart:

The ratio of energy sector/S&P500 member shorts

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/energy%20sector%20SPX%20members.jpg?itok=suwszWfq

Another "flow factor" behind the "supercycle" is rotation by discretionary funds and retail: In the period from 2010 to 2015, the Energy sector had a 10.6% allocation in conventional equity portfolios. Since then, this has declined to a 3.1% weight currently (Figure 4). The largest decline was in active allocations, which declined from 7% to 1.5% (while passive allocations decreased from 3.6% to 1.8%), which is understandable - investors dumped "dead stocks" to chase growth and momentum, BUT the tide is now turning, and "any retracement of this decline, on a US equity fund asset base of ~$14T would result in significant inflows and re-pricing."

According to Kolanovic, as economies reopen, inflation moves higher, and yield curves steepen, active funds are expected to first close cyclical shorts, and then rotate from long secular growth towards value and cyclicals. His next point is critical: given that equity assets significantly increased over the last 10 years, and the energy sector significantly decreased, even a small rotation could produce an outsized move.

See Fig 4

Fund allocation to energy have steadily declined in recent years

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/commodity%20supercycle.jpg?itok=bRcvU2TY

Finally, retail investors also reduced energy equity allocation from 4.4% to only 0.6% currently. However, as the quant notes, "given the increased retail activity and interest in stocks that are volatile, have high short interest, are smaller in size and have thematic news/social media coverage, the sector will likely also be of interest to retail investors."

By which he means that we may soon have hedge funds, pardon, reddit mods and WSB participants drafting long posts discussing the relative merits of energy as the next sector to go long, and creating a critical mass of buyers which then cascades across the ranks of market participants, from ultra-fast HFTs, to fast momentum and trend-followers, to slow ETFs and eventually ultra slow pension fund money rushing to buy energy stocks and oil.

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SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/kolanovic-new-commodity-supercycle-has-begun

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THE LATEST SHORT INTEREST DATA WAS JUST RELEASED: HERE ARE THE NEW "MOST SHORTED STOCKS"

Here is the latest list of Russell 3000 stocks with the largest outstanding short interest using the latest

The latest short interest data was released this afternoon and while it shows that short interest as a share of market cap for the typical stock remains extremely low, as the following Goldman chart reveals.

See Chart:

Short interest for the typical S&P500 stock remain extremely low

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/short%20interest%20drop.jpg?itok=bM97b4Oa

The results are below:

SEE List:

Russell 3000 stocks with short interest as a share of float greater than 25%

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/most%20shorted%20stocks%20feb%202021.jpg?itok=vAA3Rf6f

Next, here are the Russell 3000 stocks with the largest INCREASE in short interest as a share of float between January 15 and January 29...

See List:

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/biggest%20short%20increases.jpg?itok=9iFW1vVS

and finally, here are the Russell 3000 stocks with the largest DECREASE in short interest as a share of float between January 15 and January 29.

See List

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/biggest%20short%20decreases.jpg?itok=EJBBDUa8

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SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/latest-data-and-here-are-most-shorted-stocks

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15 HEDGE FUND MANAGERS MADE $23 BILLION IN 2020

by Tyler Durden

"that 15 people -- all of them men -- could earn so much so quickly starkly illustrates the widening rift between the ultra-rich and everyone else at a time of heightened unemployment and division over the scope of government

Some time in late 2020, a sell-side analyst penned the term "K-shaped recovery" meant to describe a pandemic-stricken world in which while some 11 million people have (still) lost their jobs from the February high...

See Chart:

Total Payrolls

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/payrolls%20total.jpg?itok=e5nnLsG0

... others were making millions, and in some cases, billions.

See List:

Hedge Found Titans

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/hedge%20fund%20titans%202.jpg?itok=dXCZ7ur9

Other fund managers would have also made the list, but the Bloomberg ranking only includes those who continue to manage money for outside investors. That's why Michael Platt, whose Bluecrest Capital Management returned 95% last year after it stopped managing outside money in 2015 (it since emerged that he was effectively frontrunning his outside clients), was excluded despite an estimated personal gain of $5 billion. Platt and others who manage money only for themselves face fewer restrictions than other asset managers, such as limits on leverage and risk.

The reason behind this unprecedented compensation is simple: their hedge funds generated staggering returns, with the lowest 2020 P&L at 14% for TCI and RenTec as usual leading the list with a whopping 76% return for its employees-only Medallion fund (its public facing funds had a much worse resulting in $5 billion in redemptions after a "terrible" year).

CONTINUE READING AT:

SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/15-hedge-fund-managers-made-23-billion-2020

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WILL THE FED'S "FEELGOOD" MEDICINE CAUSE AN ECONOMIC COLLAPSE?

Authored by Barry Brownstein via The Am Institute for Econ Res,

The Fed has become the economy’s Dr. Feelgood with its expansionary monetary policy. The lender of last resort has become the prime pusher of financial amphetamines...

The promise of cheap money leading to perpetual asset price sunshine may seem like a reality today. Tomorrow the consequences will be like Dr. Feelgood’s needles. To avoid the worst, markets—not politicians or bureaucrats, must be free to uncover the real cost of borrowing money.

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STONER STOCKS SOAR, TESLA TUMBLES, DOLLAR DUMPS, & GOLD JUMPS

by Tyler Durden

Pot stonks to the moon... Tesla reverse-gamma-squeezed...

Get higher baby...

See Chart:

ZH ‘Pot Stocks’ Basket

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm5086.jpg?itok=biKoFr4k

Led by an explosion higher in heavily-shorted TLRY (up around 50% today)...

See Chart:

TLRY

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmE064.jpg?itok=mBug5jki

Some of the original WSB trades performed well today with GME up over 3% (but they're all still down dramatically from the peak of the debacle)

But GME's early ramp faded fast late on...

See Chart:

GME

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmC058_1.jpg?itok=qSQOJv9q

But one momo darling got clubbed like a baby seal (for once) as TSLA was trounced, worst day in a month (and dragged the market lower) on the heels of a massive OTM Put option buy and the reverse-gamma created...

See Chart:

S&P Futs vs TSLA

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm3530.jpg?itok=GEkcxTTR

TSLA found support at $800

Bear in mind that TSLA's drop today took 45 points off the S&P 500 (and AMZN took 30 off with its drop). BKNG, TYL, and NVDA added over 100pts between them to offset.

When TSLA got whacked, the machines hit the market with a decent sell program hitting everything...

See Chart:

NYSE Uptick vs Downtick

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm258D.jpg?itok=JY1VG8YE

Small Caps broke their win-streak today, underperforming the rest of the majors along with Nasdaq 100. The Dow managed to outperform, barely holding on to green on the day...

See Chart:

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm7137.jpg?itok=UU-5wex2

Energy stocks - once again - dominated the gains with Consumer Discretionary the laggard...

See Chart:

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm541C.jpg?itok=wCpjtRgU

Treasury yields were lower across the curve (with the long-end outperforming, 30Y -3bps, 3Y -1bps)...10Y dived quickly today on the weaker than expected core CPI print...

See Chart:

UST 10 Y YIELD

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm9574.jpg?itok=VZOjyzVm

The B-Dollar Index fell for the 4th straight day, almost back to unchanged on the year...

See Chart:

Bloomberg Dollar Index

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmFE48.jpg?itok=-uLKm4rM

Gold managed to hold on to gains after briefly spiking higher, ironically on disappointing inflation...

See Chart:

Spot Gold

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm6D43.jpg?itok=FiaXDA-Q

A weak dollar and bigger than expected crude draw sent WTI higher once again...

See Chart:

WTI Crude

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmB10F.jpg?itok=DMfqMcbw

Finally, Bitcoin may seem like a risky proposition, but there’s another way to approach it.

In combination with gold, the cryptocurrency is less risky than the broader U.S. equity market, Bloomberg Intelligence’s Mike McGlone writes.

See Chart:

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm5D15.jpg?itok=UFiWsQLj

The 260-day realized volatility on BI’s Gold-Bitcoin 75/25 Index currently sits near its lowest level ever versus the market, “around 20% less than the same risk measure on the S&P 500 and appearing in early recovery days akin to the start of 2016.”

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SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stoner-stocks-soar-tesla-tumbles-dollar-dumps-gold-jumps

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US DOMESTIC POLITICS

Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

AOC AND SCHUMER WANT TAXPAYER FUNDING FOR COVID-19 FUNERALS

But if the goal is to help those impacted by the pandemic, why did neither Democrat bring up plans to provide aid to the families who lost loved ones to various state governments’ responses to the coronavirus?

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BIDEN MULLS DOMESTIC TRAVEL RESTRICTIONS DESPITE IMPROVING COVID BACKDROP

"We’re having conversations about anything that would help mitigate spread"

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US-WORLD ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)

Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

BIDEN IMPOSES SANCTIONS ON MYANMAR COUP LEADERS AS PROTEST CRACKDOWN VIOLENCE GROWS

Includes freezing of "$1 BILLION IN BURMESE FUNDS" that are currently held in US institutions.

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IRAN HAS PRODUCED URANIUM METAL IN MAJOR ESCALATION OF NUCLEAR PROGRAM: IAEA What about ISR?

Confidential briefing at UN says "banned" component produced for the first time on February 8 at the Isfahan nuclear facility.

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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS

GEO-POL n GEO-ECO ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

- Impeachment Managers Roll Out New Unseen Videos of Capitol Riot at Day Two of Trump Trial

- Dozens of Former GOP Members Are Reportedly in Talks to Form Third Party

- South African Coronavirus Strain Found in California

- Lebanese Prime Minister, French President Discuss Obstacles to Forming Gov’t in Lebanon

- Iranian Physicist Fakhrizadeh Was Reportedly Killed by Israeli

- Biden Holds First Conversation With China's Xi, Talks COVID, Human Rights, Security

- IAEA Confirms Iran Has Started Production of Uranium Metal ISR has 3 sites with nukes and Iran has the right to self-defense

- Twitter Reacts in Anger as GOP Figures Drop Video of Harris Purportedly Joking About Killing Trump If they plan to kill him (admission of defeat), the same could happen to Biden (it happen 3 times in US, the latest was JF-Kennedy). Killing Presid: no joke. Is pos

- Polar Vortex Blasts All of Canada Into Frigid, Subfreezing Temperatures

- Released Capitol Riot Footage Shows Offic Goodman Directing Mitt Romney to Safety

- Impeachment Managers Roll Out New Unseen Videos of Capitol Riot at Day Two of Trump Trial. Almost perfect rebellion without clear end: Rebels act, don’t follow Trump

- CDC Now Recommends Double-Masking for Optimal Protection Against CV-19 It means double money for usual profiteers of pandemia. They care f business, no health

- Biden Administration Calls on Supreme Court to Uphold Obamacare It was a failure!

- Republicans Lose 140,000 Voters From Party, Democrats Lose 79,000 in January

- Biden Announces Creation of New Pentagon Task Force on China Will Biden allow same stupid policy to China inside US.

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FEB 10 -2021 ND SIT EC y POL SPANISH ++

REBELION

Ecuad: MÁS DE UNA SORPRESA EN ELECCIONES Katiuska King

Washing y Tel-Aviv: LISTA PARA MATAR Higinio Polo

Covid-19: MODIFICÓ PRÁCTICAS CULTURALES Rdo Hernández

FEM & Ley Trans: ESTO DECIMOS LAS FEMINISTAS Pilar Aguilar

Enrique Tábara, IN MEMORIAM Ana, Lupe y Rodolfo

ALC: Consensos sociales críticos y liberalización econ J C. Gambina

OR-Pr: ¿UN LEGADO REVOLUCIONARIO ÁRABE? Yassin Al-Hajj

Vida: La vida espera: referéndum y resisten en Sáhara Occidental https://youtu.be/8jjyP5_vOP4

Pandem: un coste que la agroindustria está dispuesta a pagar G P. M

ALC: Privatizan la educación vs los think tanks en Uruguay Nicolás C

Haití: POR EL FIN DE LA OPRESIÓN Cristóbal León

ARG: EL AGUA, LA FUENTE Y LA CULTURA NACIONAL F Di Vincenzo

ARG: LAS MALVINAS SON ARGENTINAS? Susana Merino

ARG: EMPRESAS RECUPERADAS Y MOVIMIENTOS SOCIALES Mario H

ECON: REESTRUCTURAR LA DEUDA PÚBLICA EN EL BCE Var aut

ECON: Desafíos históricos a la teoría económica convencional? M R

Chile: Elocuente silencio sobre el juez Guzmán Felipe Portales

Chile: Ni “Paz” social ni Asamblea Constituyente Leopoldo Lavín

COL: Fracking, desarrollo sostenible y discurso seudoambiental

Cuba: EL EMPEÑO DE PRIVATIZAR LA NACIÓN J C Guanche

Opin: PROGRESIVO DETERIORO DE LA DEMOCRACIA Antonio Lorca

Ecuad-Elect : UN GRAN TRIUNFO POPULAR Mario y Maritza

España: LA ÚLTIMA BATALLA DE GERARDO IGLESIAS Diego Díaz

España CORRUPCIÓN EN GÉNOVA Víctor Arrogante

África- Congo EL ÉBOLA VUELVE A APARECER Alba Fernández

África: ONU instan a Marruecos a liberar a periodista saharaui

YEMEN: NUEVOS AIRES CORREN SOBRE YEMEN? Guadi Calvo

US: Teme más el afianzam de relac CH-RU que a China L Savin

Myanmar: Mira hacia atrás con ira y miedo tras el golpe militar G D

TECK: INTELIGENCIA ARTIFICIAL Y CONTROL POLÍTICO Alfredo Toro

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RT EN ESPAÑOL

OIEA afirma que Irán inició la producción de uranio metálico https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/383190-iran-iniciar-produccion-uranio-metalico

Supongamos que quieren romperle la cabeza a NETA sin dispararle un misil

Joe Biden y Xi Jinping crean buenas relaciones entre Washington y Pekín https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/383186-joe-biden-habla-lider-chino

Esto fue lo que la fallo A Trump: crear amistad en lugar xenophobia

Rusia insta al Pentágono a "detener el ruido de sables imprudente" https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/383168-embajada-rusia-eeuu-instar-pentagono-detener-ruido-sables

Vaticinan que el dólar continuará cayendo en 2021: ¿qué efectos tendrá en Am-Latina? https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/383111-caida-valor-dolar-efecto-america-latina

El valor del USD va a caer un 35% a fines d este año y ya se deprecio un 15% : ese es el % que vamos a perder en las compras y ventas EN EL MERCADO MUNDIAL con el USD. Desde 1980 quisimos crear una propia divisa basada en oro para los países latinos. Los chinos querían financiar la via férrea y carretera que uniria los países del atlantico con el pacifico. El proyecto lo iniciaron BRA y Perú, pero cuando llego Alan Garcia al poder (chulido del USA) desactivo el proyecto. Ahora tenemos buenas relaciones con China (hemos adoptado su vacuna anti CV) y podemos reactivar ese proyecto. Yo creo que Bolsonaro también lo va a apoyar (lei un reciente articulo al respecto).

Captan desde la EEI impresionantes 'ríos de oro' en Perú. Somos el 1er exp de oro n ALC https://actualidad.rt.com/viral/383110-astronauta-captar-eei-impresionantes-rios-oro-peru y somos el 3er productor de oro nivel mundial

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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE

Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3

- “Capitol” Offense: Selling Out the People By Douglas Johnson

- US Constitution: An Undemocratic, Flawed Document By Ch Davé

- PAL Boycott of Israel is Not Racist, It is Anti-Racist By Ramzy Baroud

- Foreign Roots of Haiti’s “Constitutional Crisis” By Mark Schuller

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GLOBAL RESEARCH

Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO allies

- “The Dirty War on Syria”: Mark Taliano and Tim Anderson

- Big Pharma’s COVID Vaccine By Prof Michel Chossudovsky